Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.027242 0.029636 0.032143 0.034964 0.038053 0.041333 0.045083
2025-07-13 0.023208 0.026636 0.030434 0.034961 0.040219 0.046143 0.053339
2025-07-20 0.020656 0.024666 0.029301 0.035067 0.042070 0.050322 0.060821
2025-07-27 0.018862 0.023260 0.028520 0.035297 0.043834 0.054273 0.068077
2025-08-03 0.017233 0.021838 0.027508 0.035037 0.044822 0.057176 0.074066
2025-08-10 0.016152 0.020973 0.027066 0.035377 0.046488 0.060930 0.081283
2025-08-17 0.014913 0.019788 0.026093 0.034902 0.046980 0.063093 0.086432
2025-08-24 0.013794 0.018667 0.025104 0.034297 0.047199 0.064828 0.091017
2025-08-31 0.012915 0.017802 0.024386 0.033984 0.047755 0.066999 0.096283
2025-09-07 0.012152 0.017040 0.023749 0.033722 0.048327 0.069178 0.101639
2025-09-14 0.011497 0.016386 0.023215 0.033553 0.048995 0.071493 0.107288
2025-09-21 0.010838 0.015683 0.022563 0.033159 0.049281 0.073227 0.112118
2025-09-28 0.010371 0.015258 0.022321 0.033407 0.050616 0.076721 0.120090
2025-10-05 0.009868 0.014751 0.021932 0.033412 0.051588 0.079732 0.127541
2025-10-12 0.009432 0.014319 0.021625 0.033515 0.052702 0.083012 0.135629
2025-10-19 0.009061 0.013962 0.021408 0.033734 0.053997 0.086636 0.144508
2025-10-26 0.008611 0.013453 0.020923 0.033486 0.054502 0.088979 0.151340
2025-11-02 0.008324 0.013185 0.020798 0.033810 0.055959 0.092970 0.161278
2025-11-09 0.007891 0.012659 0.020228 0.033357 0.056066 0.094661 0.167228
2025-11-16 0.007465 0.012120 0.019608 0.032781 0.055916 0.095882 0.172381
2025-11-23 0.007124 0.011705 0.019169 0.032483 0.056227 0.097912 0.179135
2025-11-30 0.006815 0.011327 0.018771 0.032233 0.056598 0.100056 0.186226
2025-12-07 0.006542 0.010996 0.018438 0.032073 0.057114 0.102480 0.193996